Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 130.520134 143.166750 156.034873 170.082211 184.959018 200.219705 217.031769
2025-08-10 101.889851 120.011707 139.302776 161.254352 185.428559 211.130941 240.415712
2025-08-17 82.769381 104.365495 128.347228 156.674437 188.944689 224.300906 265.703361
2025-08-24 69.591692 93.578584 121.275651 155.098008 194.771043 239.346417 292.726573
2025-08-31 60.539704 86.409329 117.359372 156.276535 203.081283 256.787009 322.289551
2025-09-07 54.878451 82.615247 116.848331 160.980889 215.173729 278.432181 356.726819
2025-09-14 49.111229 77.984686 114.729400 163.246472 223.997759 296.041781 386.407915
2025-09-21 43.555613 73.001730 111.635344 163.843606 230.440923 310.593428 412.374975
2025-09-28 39.292975 69.311952 109.830512 165.751646 238.273953 326.696827 440.185003
2025-10-05 36.935519 68.051235 111.060782 171.454610 250.829334 348.612539 475.175415
2025-10-12 34.173616 65.902422 110.850712 175.082296 260.633358 367.106663 506.057673
2025-10-19 31.943546 64.320650 111.251167 179.399312 271.265062 386.644244 538.320529
2025-10-26 29.428525 62.133157 110.728741 182.505772 280.489106 404.719315 569.260648
2025-11-02 24.589369 55.701362 103.630674 176.157519 276.922329 406.355612 579.555819
2025-11-09 21.065525 51.044026 98.814993 172.713303 277.011458 412.532085 595.508257
2025-11-16 18.510615 47.768963 95.857493 171.725776 280.293505 422.775257 616.635755
2025-11-23 16.774793 45.780626 94.756823 173.333030 287.088050 437.620009 643.737678
2025-11-30 15.911288 45.352995 96.100047 178.549598 298.944222 459.237218 679.741796
2025-12-07 14.617279 43.922875 95.694912 181.064905 306.978472 475.803860 709.287037
2025-12-14 13.127121 41.900708 94.158647 181.747709 312.349751 488.797159 734.220685
2025-12-21 12.001491 40.500029 93.569169 183.814864 319.669444 504.429477 762.687951
2025-12-28 11.583629 40.606388 95.569694 189.938461 332.894370 528.152541 801.963461
2026-01-04 10.868711 39.948728 96.170761 193.830057 342.890322 547.538029 835.614902